<p>Byerly then here is my question. If there was a 17% for SCEA at Yale this past year, and assuming that a significant number of those accepted early are legacies and recruited athletes who tend to apply early, and possibly development cases. what would the acceptance rate be for those not in those categories? I put that rate at lower than 10%
I am basing my estimate on this: (all numbers rounded)
- Assuming an average early applicant pool at around 4,000
- Assuming 1800 accepted both regular decision and SCEA
- Assuming 700 accepted SCEA
- Yale has a on average a 40% acceptance rage for legacies, and legacies typically make up 10% of the entering class. Thus, first assume 1500 of the 1800 accepted enroll(just an estimate).
- Assume that of the 1800 accepted, that 180 are legacies. (round to 200)
- Assume that 500 legacies applied combined regular decision and SCEA with a 40% acceptance rate
- Assume that of the 500 legacies that applied, that 400 of them applied in the early pool as the legacy advantage tends to go with applicants who applied early. Assume 160 of the 700 who were accepted in the early pool were legacies (ie.
- Yale tends to take approximately 15% recruited athletes, many of whom apply in the early pool. This number can vary. Assume 250 recruited athletes accepted to Yale and that half are taken early. Thus, perhaps another 125 accepted in the early pool
- This would put approximately 300 of the 700 applicants going to recruited athletes or legacies in the early pool. Assume 5% of the 1800 (round to 2000) spots go to development cases in the early pool. That is another 90 spots (round to 100) That is 400 of the spots taken in the early pool not including any other categories mentioned. That leaves 300 spots left for applicants who are not development cases, legacies, or recruited athletes.
- Assuming that there are 4,000 applicants applying early, that shows a less than 10 acceptance rate for all other applciants.
I am curious how you see it.</p>