Financial aid chances?...

Try supporting a family of three on $40,000/year. People do it, and in NYC too. You have no idea what life is like outside of your bubble. Need based aid is for people who need it. The fact that your father will only contribute a small amount does not mean that you are entitled for aid. That is your family issue.

You will need to go to a college that gives merit aid or to a SUNY.