<p>emilybee, we are in Northern Oneida County. After this summer’s drought I will welcome some rain and even some wind as I do like storms. For those who have already been affected by last year’s flooding I certainly understand the worry and apprehension. I have a friend from the Binghamton area who posted pics of the flooding last year and it was awful. </p>
<p>What I meant was where I am we will likely not see the weather as severe as they will where my DD is in Philly. You never know of course but at least we have a generator and are on high ground should things get very bad. My DD’s roommate is from the Jersey coast and my DD said that the roommate is also of the “No worries” mindset. Her classmates from the Miami area are also saying this will be nothing compared to what they have seen (and maybe so). Although I think they may not realize as of yet that we are looking at more than just a hurricane. The Florida people did say that she may lose cell service so be prepared. I asked her to please just be on the lookout for any hardwire phones in the dorm etc that may be available. Not sure if dorms even have payphones anymore!</p>
<p>Spoke to DD this morning and she said no way will she be walking to classes in high winds. So far the school has only sent out one email that said to “use your best judgement”, The mother of an HS friend suggested she may want to strap some bricks to her feet lol.</p>
<p>I think one of the reasons they’re hyping the storm is because the models forecast the lowest pressure they’ve ever seen in a storm. This means particularly bad flooding where the center of the storm puts the storm surge. Couple that with the fact that it’s a full moon so that high tides will be particularly high, it makes it worse. Now add the fact that the storm has been out to sea for a while and then will turn westward, and even more water will be pushed ahead of the storm. Now finally add the cold front moving in from the west and when that cold weather hits the warm wet air from the tropics it’ll be dramatic. That’s why they’re hyping the storm so much. Hope for the best but plan for the worst.</p>
<p>hugcheck, also this storm is not going to be a quick mover, like Irene was, so sustained winds over a much longer period of time. Plus, it is huge. Millions and millions of people are going to lose power and won’t get it back for days. </p>
<p>Mom, you definitely won’t get it as bad as Jersey, but I remember last year with Irene and DH’s teams were all down on LI and NYC and had to scramble in the middle of the storm to get upstate/southern tier where the biggest problems were.</p>
<p>Anyone see any updates on storm surge at Jersey Shore? Had the Weather Channel on for the past hour and nothing. </p>
<p>Our beach house is 100-150 yards from the ocean. We boarded it up for Irene because of 100+ mph forecast. Don’t think that’s necessary this time, but a huge storm surge concerns me. Our town has good dunes that were not breached w Irene, but Sandy is a different storm. JCP&L is incompetent, so I know the power will be out for a while. I’m wondering if it’s worth heading down tomorrow to move small stuff to the 2nd floor, put the sofa on the dining room table and clean out the fridge.</p>
<p>I heard 'em say if you’re a 6 foot tall person the water could be two feet above your head. This image to describe an 8 foot storm surge. Sorry NJ2011mom.</p>
<p>I also read that this storm is predicted to collide with a winter storm in the area adding a possibility of 2 FEET of snow on top of the rainfall/storm surge/winds, etc. Even if half of what they are predicting comes true its still a major, major storm. Take care all those in the path!!!</p>
<p>H and I bought a small apartment in NYC as a possible retirement home a few years ago but our main home is still in the Philadelphia suburbs. The suburban house tends to lose power for extended periods during and after a big storm. We have gotten into the habit of heading for NYC whenever anything significant is heading our way. Normally this is a fun thing to do. </p>
<p>My 91 year old mother lives alone at the NJ Shore and I spent much of this morning negotiating with her after explaining that H and I will pick her up tomorrow to bring her to our apartment for the duration of the storm. She HATES New York…actually it is the idea of New York because she has not been to the City in forty years. Thieves, rapists and all that. </p>
<p>I did think about caving at one point, taking down some non-perishables and riding out the storm at her place but now the Governor of NJ has issued a mandatory evacuation of the barrier islands by 4:00 PM tomorrow so it is a non-negotiable. I know that she was hoping my brother, so favored by her that he is known to we daughters as “The Golden One”, would step in and take her but he has to evacuate with his own family and mother-in-law. Mom will have to make due with staying in a sweet little apartment with a daughter to wait on her hand and foot. </p>
<p>Forget the hurricane…be prepared to hear screaming up and down the Jersey coast tomorrow around 1:00 PM. It always amazes me how such an intelligent person can be so unreasonable.</p>
<p>PS. My husband is a saint. Three days in a little apartment with a very unhappy old lady who spills coffee everywhere…think about it.</p>
<p>In addition to Sandy, there’s a winter storm coming from the west and an additional cold front coming from the north, all of which will supposedly combine to create the so-called “perfect storm.” It’s predicted to be worse than Sandy alone and cover a much bigger area. </p>
<p>Because this is a hybrid type of storm, I’ve heard that the greatest damage isn’t necessarily at the center, but on the outer bands, where sustained high winds will cover an enormous geographic area for a long period of time. As mentioned, the full moon is supposed to exacerbate storm surge and flooding. Another big factor is the fact that we have had a very warm summer and fall and there are still many leaves on the trees. That means trees and branches will be heavier and more likely to come down. They are saying that some areas could be without power for up to two weeks.</p>
<p>Elleneast—sounds like alcohol, lots of it, should be on your supply list for next week!! Tell your mom you are going to, I don’t know, Iowa, drive in the dark and take her glasses. Once she is in the apartment what is she going to do :D. Good luck.</p>
<p>Steve…I believe the two feet of snow potential is in the mountains in West Virginia.</p>
<p>Ok…here is my worry. I have outdoor bus duty on both Monday and Tuesday mornings…and I don’t own chest high waders. I guess I’ll wear rain boots, a good waterproof raincoat, and take a change of pants and socks with me.</p>
<p>My daughter was planning to submit her early decision/early action applications on Tuesday evening. Now, she is working furiously to get them out before the storm. We were out of power for five days when Irene hit. Talk about stress!</p>
<p>It looks almost certain that my daughter is stranded in NYC. She has been scrambling to try to get on an earlier flight (scheduled to depart Monday) and couldn’t even get placed on hold with the airline for hours, just had to keep calling back. But she can see on the Internet there is nothing. So she’s preparing to hunker down with a friend and to miss several days of work. If she has power she can do some work from there, otherwise not. Meanwhile, got an email from DS’s school in CT with their emergency plans. They will brown bag the kids in their dorms if it becomes unsafe to leave them.</p>
<p>I think the 6-8’ storm surges are for the low lying towns like Sea Bright that flood with a big rain storm. The barrier islands are scary, as the bay often reaches the ocean when the winds push the water out. </p>
<p>Just back from the grocery store and amazed at everyone buying bottled water. We have over a dozen 1 liter plastic bottles, I will just start filling them up later this afternoon. We lost our water with Irene, so I don’t underestimate the need for water. At least now we have a hottub that we can bail to flush toilets with - that was our biggest issue! Having lost water for a week w Irene & power for 4 days w the snowstorm, I vote for electricity any day! We are campers, so we know how to work around no running water.</p>
<p>A local (CT) weatherman has a blog, he is usually the last one to get all hyped up about impending storms, so I tend to go with his opinion. He is concerned. You can find him at [Geoff</a> Fox: My Permanent Record](<a href=“http://www.geofffox.com%5DGeoff”>http://www.geofffox.com). I still haven’t quite deciphered how Northern CT will fare (where we are)</p>
<p>S’s classes at Univ of Hartford have been cancelled from Mon-Wed. He lives on campus, about 30 minutes from home, but has elected to stay put.</p>
<p>Well I finallly was bitten by the “Wrong timestamp bug”. My most recent post (at 3:30pm) ended up as #91, stamped at 6:37am. anyhow, it says this:</p>