<p>The big difference would be how many from NJ vs. how many from Mississipppi were hooked. Given that lots of legacies and recruited athletes would be from NJ and all staff kids would be, we have a lot of hooked candidates from NJ who have several times the chace as an unhooked candidate to get in. So the unhooked from NJ probably have under a 3% chance.</p>
<p>In Mississippi, good chance none of the candidates are hooked, giving them twice the chance as an unhooked kid from NJ.</p>