Congratulations on your achievements.
I agree list is reachy and do think UTD will work out.
Also need to apply EA everywhere that’s offered so Purdue, UIUC, Ohio State, U Chicago.
If you want to maximize chances, consider applying ED at one of your schools.
Other schools that would be more likely admits include Iowa, Iowa State, Miami Ohio, Kansas, ASU, Arizona, and Alabama. They all have some flavor of stats/data science majors.