I agree. The publics, where you are an out-of-state applicant, UVA, UNC, UT will be a crap shoot, even with your excellent stats.
You appear to be an excellent student and will no doubt have a lot of great choices. Applying to so many reach schools will take a lot of time and energy on your behalf, so I would refine that part of your list, as others have suggested, to determine best fit.