A lot of people are talking about your safeties, which I think is appropriate, but I will express a little different philosophy about reaches. If her dream school is Duke, several of those high reaches are more Duke-like than the matches and safeties on the list. I see no reason to limit her to two high reaches. Your total list is 16, which is a lot, but not outside the norm these days for a kid who is really interested in a high reach. If this was my kid, I wouldn’t suggest dropping any of the reaches or high reaches. I might substitute a safer safety, though, because I’m paranoid that way.