It is so difficult for us to understand the context of your HS, but yes most definitely the colleges will, and so will your counselor, as far as what gpa and rigor are needed for those schools. For all we know, you could be in line for them! If you took the most difficult courseload available to anyone at your school, and there are kids who get in to the top10s every year, then you are in good shape to have a shot. Many private schools “tier” the students somewhat as they go through: one group is allowed and encouraged to take every honors class and the rigorous APs; the next group is only allowed to take 3 APs as a junior and doesnt get in to all the honors/advanced in 9-10th, and never is on track to take the hardest APs. The next group may not take more than a couple honors/APs total. Thus each kid is taking the max rigor open to them, but unfortunately not the max rigor allowed at the school—that is reserved for the top group. I have seen this cause frustration and confusion among juniors and parents when they realize despite having a record of almost all As, they never really had a path to the maximum rigor, in some cases were completely unaware until senior year.
Bottom line: your counselor will know all of this and can put your resume in context for how competitive it is for your list.