I don’t think so.
I think that different schools make different decisions for a wide variety of reasons. In general schools are looking for students who will be a good fit for them, and they seem to get it right quite often. For honors colleges I think that this can be used as a way to entice a student to accept an admissions offer, which suggests that the school does think that this particular student is a good fit. However, that does not mean that some other school will make the same decision.
This is a time of year when many high school seniors just need to be patient and wait as the results come in. At least in my experience this does seem to work out quite often, even if it does not always work out exactly the way that the student was originally hoping.