Thank you for the responses.
Blossom, it is not REALLY a winning lottery ticket, without identifying them I was giving an example of a one time payout, they are making a deal with someone to sell something and they cannot structure it to take the payout over time.
This example is not about roofs or credit card debt, since people tend to judge others I wanted to make it clear that they are not spending this money on fancy cars or trips to Tahiti.
First the family wants to know if they will really be better off, negotiating this deal, how much they have to earn from the deal to come out ahead and which year will they lose FA if they make the deal. I think the refernce year question has been answered.
Although I do wonder if there is any provision in the prior prior year analysis if it is unusually high. Also, why don’t schools want the more current year if you can provide it or are willing to wait until February 2017 to know what your offer is?
I would love to hear about people who lost aid (or did not) after the first year in full needs schools because their income went up significantly. Also people whose reference (or other) year was unusually high, which could be demonstrated, what happened in the following years?
@twoinanddone I know it will either be capital gains or ordinary income not both but either way they will pay 30-40% in taxes (have high state taxes), since I am not an accountant I cannot predict which way the transaction will be charachterized nor does it really matter. That is shocking about the $200 but a perfect example why they are concerned.
I was consolidating in my example about EFC, for one kid it is a total of 30k, for two kids each one pays 60% of that so about 40- 45k TOTAL for both assuming no windfall income. It can be easily predicted, just go to the NPC for potential schools (or D1s) and see how it changes when her sibling is listed at over18 and in college.
After the windflall the TOTAL EFC will be over $120k, so the parents in my example will be paying $85k more for school and 30-40k in taxes. So that $100K they earn will end up costing them $115K, which seems like a ridiculous result. Also, since they are using prior prior year, they will get the money in 2016 but will not have to spend it until 2018, which also seems crazy since by then it will count 2x because if they do the responsible thing and save it instead of using it to pay down credit cards! or get the squirrels out of their roof! it will count as an asset as well and cost them an extra 8k in aid going forward! (I know, pay off the credit cards in 2016 and reborrow when you are full pay in 2018). just giving the example.
K1 is going to a Top 20 school. K2 and K3 are equally bright and work hard, within a half step of K1. They will be accepted at a meets full needs college. From the prospective of these parents, they cannot tell K2 and K3 you cannot go to the same school as your sister because we made more money this year?!