Dad, you completely missed my point about how a kid who seems destined for Yale Freshman year can end up at JHU or Muhlenberg… but did provide some context for me to help you.
Her scores- her AP’s, her dual enrollment credits- her awards- all of this is fantastic and shows that she is a terrific and promising HS student. But she’s been a Freshman for what- three weeks?
You cannot take a score and project it out four years and figure out how to plot her on some chart. She is not a datapoint, she is a person. I know dozens of kids from my kids classes, both K-8 as well as HS who really had it all- academics, athletics, artistic ability, musical training and whatnot. Really fantastic kids.
Some of them indeed end up at the tippy top colleges. And a smaller percentage of them end up doing truly amazing things- one is a current clerk on the Supreme Court and honestly- a fourth grade language arts teacher once said, “Nobody can win an argument with you- I won’t be surprised if you end up on the Supreme Court”.
But a not-insignificant number end up elsewhere. Sometimes they get dealt a bad hand- mental illness which manifests during HS. An eating disorder. Other physical/medical issues which requires staying close to home with a reduced stress educational path (like a local college, one class at a time). Or a parent gets ill and a kid opts to stay close to home for college to help ferry younger siblings and make dinner while the parent is in treatment.
And others just burn out. Plain old burn out. They’ve been running at 90 miles per hour since they were in second grade racking up awards and winning and getting sky high scores and they just fizzle out by junior year of HS. The treadmill is running too fast and they don’t want to keep that up- they want to work on the yearbook and join the prom committee and have a boyfriend and get a job at Abercrombie and use their employee discount on cute sweaters.
So my fear for your D is not that one EC is inadequate. It’s that you don’t seem to have a Plan B (either practically or emotionally) which allows for your D to get off the path she is seemingly on right now.
The truly brilliant kid from one of my children’s grades in middle school (this was a kid taking college math in 7th grade, and some grad level seminars by 8th grade) ended up at a college you’ve never heard of. He was a wonderfully lopsided kid- and his parents were incredibly supportive of his need to not have to perform at 110% every day of his HS career. So he didn’t. And they loved him more than they loved the idea of him heading off to Princeton like his older sibling. A musical prodigy from another one of my kids grades now has a perfectly ordinary career having graduated from a fine (but not HYP type) college, having spent one year post-HS on the touring/competition/performance track in Europe and Asia. The competition at this level is nosebleed level high stakes- he had the talent, did well, was on track for a conservatory but again- his parents loved him as a person more than the idea of his accolades, once he decided that this world was not for him.
Your D has a lot of growing up to do before she has to think about/worry about college. Figure out how you are going to support the D who decides she wants to attend UC Santa Barbara or San Diego for the weather and the cute guys and the surfing (if that’s what she wants), and leave the idea of how to support the Harvard attending D alone for now. The countries Gifted and Talented programs are filled with kids who are going to end up at UIUC and Wisconsin and Indiana and yes- Harvard and Yale… but you just can’t look at a HS freshman (even though you think she is the most special and wonderful kid in the entire world) and predict where she’s going to end up.
Don’t communicate- even subconsciously- that the only outcome which will work for you as a family is to have her end up at the top of the food chain. Make it clear that you love her as a person more than you love her credits and her test scores and her award winning art and her advanced standing. You love her, not the awards. And if she wants one EC- great. If she wants to try jazz dance- and not be good at it, but love it because she’s doing it with three of her friends- you need to communicate how great that is. And if she wants a sport but can only make it to the JV level, you need to support her being OK at something- the healthy and happy adults are those who can join a bridge league or be part of a book club or coach a losing little league team… and just enjoy it, not needing the validation of being top dog at every thing they do.