<p>I think if someone has an application that is truly weak in relation to those seen in the general applicant pool, that person is a strong candidate for ED rejection. Some random causasian dude with a 1200 and a 3.4 GPA really does not stand much of a chance at princeton and there’s not much he can do between december and april to get in, short of winning a nobel prize or something. Of course, if he had the brains to win a nobel prize, he surely wouldn’t have a 1200 and a 3.4. I’d guess that most of the applicants are pretty strong however…probably at least in the AI5 range.</p>