<p>Statistically, yes, you have a greater chance of getting in through ED. Regular acceptance rate is about 13.5%, whereas ED applicants have a 22% acceptance rate. But it all comes down to your specific case.</p>
<p>If you are confident that your senior year first semester grades will raise your cumulative GPA, then you should probably do RD instead. That way, when you submit your application in December, they will be factored into the adcom’s decision. In doing ED, you preclude the admissions office from looking at senior classes that might boost your chances.</p>