<p>Strick:</p>
<p>Again, the breeched levees didn’t materially change the flooding relative to the predictions for a close-hit by a major hurricane.</p>
<p>Here are lo-rez and hi-rez links to a graphic published by the Times-Picayune in 2002:</p>
<p>Hi-Rez PDF (24 meg):</p>
<p><a href=“Hurricane Center | NOLA.com”>Hurricane Center | NOLA.com;
<p>Lo-Rez JPEG (1.3 meg):</p>
<p><a href=“Hurricane Center | NOLA.com”>Hurricane Center | NOLA.com;
<p>This graphic is based on modelling done by LSUs Louisiana Water Resources Research Institute and the Army Corps of Engineers.</p>
<p>It shows the flood level for a slow moving Category 3 storm making landfall just east of New Orleans. The predicted flooding is virtually identical to the flooding that actually occured this week in a faster moving Category 4 storm with the eye centered perhaps 20 miles further east. The only substantive difference is the model predicts somewhat wider flooding in Jefferson County (Kenner, Metarie, etc.) than acutally occured. For Orleans Parrish (downtown N. Orleans), the predicted flooding was accurate to with a foot or so.</p>
<p>Another pair of graphics from the same newspaper series details the levee systems:</p>
<p>Hi-Rez PDF (24 meg):</p>
<p><a href=“Hurricane Center | NOLA.com”>Hurricane Center | NOLA.com;
<p>Lo-Rez JPEG (.5 meg):</p>
<p><a href=“Hurricane Center | NOLA.com”>Hurricane Center | NOLA.com;
<p>This graphic details eight potential levee trouble spots in the New Orleans area. Major flooding occurred at four of the eight trouble spots, including the three areas of levee breaks.</p>
<p>The modelling done by the academics and engineers proved to be incredibly accurate predictors of what just happened in New Orleans.</p>
<p>You can read the entire 5-part series from 2002 here:</p>
<p><a href=“Hurricane Center | NOLA.com”>Hurricane Center | NOLA.com;
<p>It details every aspect of what just occurred, from the impossibility of pre-storm evacuation, to the post-hurricane flooding, to the expected death tolls.</p>