Like everyone else said, you are qualified. Things you can do that will from this point onwards that will make it less of a crapshoot:
- Do Intel STS. Try to get semifinalist/finalist. Finalist will give you a pretty much guarantee of making one if not all of HYPSM. This is the most important thing that you can do right now- dive in and spend tons of time on your paper.
- Start racking up TOC bids. Qual to Nats/States again, and place in top 5 in your event for WL situations.
- Start working on your essays right after AP tests are over. Polish them till they are perfect, and then work on them some more.
If you get no other major awards, just apply to your reaches broadly and strategically apply to schools early. Then hope you get lucky and get into at least one- it worked for me.