I don’t think there is any recent data, but it was our experience that colleges do like to see the IB diploma, as it demonstrates a student’s ability to write, research and work hard within a disciplined curriculum. If this is the only thing holding you back, it might be worth considering whether you could select a different HL course. Do you need an HL science? How significant a difference this would make probably also depends upon the rest of your HS record and, as @gardenstatelegal suggests, whether your GC could still check the “most rigorous” box without the IBD.
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