@calmom I don’t disagree with your basics, that she has safeties. But the question was will one of 10 tippy tops admit her. And like threads about ED, some forget this isn’t just better chances for applying to more or earlier.
A rising trend is good, but not a tip, in itself. (And 1st semester soph year was a 3.0.) Her ECs seem to include foreign focus only, nothing with her school peers or local community is shown, and both high school and local engagement are important. We don’t know what classes got less than A, not which APs less than 5, or the ACT subscores. It’s not just a random probability calculation.
And the essay issues. I think the tippy tops are an extreme reach, as of now. Any of them. She has a chance to make an excellent presetation in her apps, but not sure she knows how, at this point.
Add to that, with all the foreign involvement, I wonder if “US student” means US citizen. And Wash state puts forth a large number of highly qualified applicants.