This isn;t about a 4.0/1600 kid who understands what adcoms are looking for and produces it in the ECs and writing sections, makes no slips, and impresses during an interview.
Even perfect kids like that are are subject to geo diversity and balance in majors and by gender. Etc. Those wild cards against them.
Just looking at Princeton, 2.6% of kids with a gpa below 3.5 were admitted. We all know a chunk of those will be athletes. At Stanford, 1% of applicants below 3.7 got in, Again with the athletes.
If you could understand what each of OP’s targets (in this thread) is looking for, you’d know the chances are miniscule.
Nothing says that if 9 reject her (and I’m only looking at gpa figures, not the rest of holistic,) that the 10th has some miraculous feat of probablity running in her favor.
I do wish folks would quit relying on probability, some exercise of your math skills. It takes this thread off track and isn’t fair to OP.
And I have no idea what you think the magic redeeming qualities are, here, some work abroad and some big pieces apparently missing.