This NY Times article has a reverse answer to your question.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/09/04/upshot/college-picks.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&version=HpSum&module=second-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=2&abt=0002&abg=0#s=1058