<p>“Safety” it isn’t. But you would seem to have a good chance at admission and a merit award, at least for national merit (usually they give 1-2,000 per year for that, unless you are a NM $2500 winner). Your math orientation and Questbridge status should also weigh in your favor - probably more than music in your case as you are not applying to the conservatory; Oberlin has plenty of musicians.
You should visit if you can and haven’t before applying anywhere ED.</p>