Ivy League likely letters to HS juniors?

The Ivies call verbally committing “commiting to the process”.

I have seen many Ivy verbal commitments work out, a handful not…usually because of too low an AI (so low grades and/or low test score) come pre-read time in summer before senior year.

IME It’s the earlier commits that are more likely to ultimately fall out, because there isn’t as good handle on academic strength frosh/soph years.