As an aside, if you are planning to apply to Hopkins ED2, isn’t there some other school you are applying ED1/REA/SCEA? Wouldn’t that school be your actual dream school, and if admitted would you even apply to Hopkins?
Anyway, in their last CDS, Hopkins reported accepting 427 of 8746 Internationals, 4.9%, versus 8.3% for domestic applicants.
Then it looks like an average of 150 or so Internationals get aid a year, implying something like 68% of their International enrollees got aid. But the average amount of aid was only $12,136. So I don’t know how many Internationals get “full aid” offers from Hopkins, but it can’t be very many with that sort of average.
I also don’t know how many of the Internationals who applied were seeking large aid awards, but it was probably a decent percentage based on what I see in discussions of Internationals applying to US schools. So I would bet Hopkins’ acceptance rate among such Internationals is really, really low.
In fact, just for comparison, here are the average amounts of aid to Internationals at some need blind/full need for Internationals colleges, plus overall International acceptance rate if available, plus an estimate of how many International enrollees got aid at all (if available):
Princeton $78606 2.4% (70.2%)
Harvard $75088 1.9% (66.3%)
Yale $80285 NA (NA)
Dartmouth $81378 NA (60.1%)
Amherst $81202 2.7% (83%)
Bowdoin $77156 1.9% (42%)
So Hopkins’ estimated percentage of enrolled Internationals getting SOME aid is not too bad, but their average amount of aid is WAAAAAAY lower than at these schools.
Again, this implies a lot of Internationals who apply to these colleges are in fact very high need. Probably these colleges attract the most high need Internationals due to their need blind policies. But assuming Hopkins is anywhere close to attracting a similar amount of high need International applications, Hopkins must only be accepting a very low percentage of high need Internationals, probably much lower than the overall International acceptance percentages at those schools.
Indeed, I would not be surprised if Hopkins was accepting only a fraction of one percent of high need International applicants. And in fact the data is consistent with it being functionally 0%.
I assume all this is not what you want to hear, but it is what it is. I don’t think this means you can’t apply to Hopkins. I would just be realistic about how unlikely it appears to be to get a high aid offer from Hopkins as an International.