One match may be out of reach unless she gets good merit, though her counselor thinks that is likely.
The other is more of a match/reach (two kids with similar profiles were admitted from her school last year). I have already been in touch with that school’s financial aid office, which helped me calculate that cost of attendance would be less than what she would pay at her dad’s college (assuming she got no further aid beyond the faculty discount).
The other reaches seem similar to the match/reach - most are small and selective liberal arts colleges that give generous aid, and the NPCs are coming in on budget for the most part.
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