Not only do many schools not solely rely on FAFSA EFC, most don’t come close to meeting full need, including a number of schools mentioned on this thread.
Running NPCs should help get a ballpark figure, but they aren’t currently updated for coming FAFSA changes this fall, nor do they contain 2024-2025 costs. In the same vein, not sure how OP calculated their EFC because none of the FAFSA EFC (SAI) estimators are updated for this fall’s changes either.
Hopefully some of the NPCs compare favorably to the budget.