I would start by moving most of your “safeties” to “match” and all of your “likelies” to “reach” because that’s what they generally are, even for people with perfect stats and great ECs. Your list is then very top heavy, so you need to add in a few surer shots.
I’m sure people here will have great suggestions for you, especially if you can provide more info on what you’re looking for (urban, rural, large, small, etc).