I agree. She’ll have great college options with AP stats junior year and precalculus (honors) senior year, or Precalculus taken at any point.
I don’t see why a slightly burned out kid should sacrifice a class she really wants to take because of colleges she isn’t going to apply to/has no realistic chance at but are used as a yardstick on college confidential.
There are SO MANY great colleges - go to the website " colleges that change lives" and see if there’s one or two near your home, then go visit to give her ideas about what she likes or doesn’t like in a college.
(“Name recognition” should go out the window in terms of criteria. Most kids know very few colleges.)