When we visited DePaul we were quoted that the school of music there had an acceptance rate of 12% as the lowest acceptance rate of any program there. I think all these music schools are competitive. I do think music numbers can be misleading because it definitely depends on the instrument and/or program you are applying to as well.
The other thing is having visited DePaul and Michigan and a variety of other music programs, I often don’t think a less competitive program necessarily means a less high quality program. More students apply for urban programs like DePaul because of location, location, location. Some of those out of the lime light, more rural programs have extremely high quality faculty and some fantastic students. They just don’t get as much attention and the numbers don’t tell the full story. Despite the fact that the acceptance rate is theoretically twice as high at Michigan than DePaul, my kid was much more impressed and excited about Michigan. And he probably won’t apply to DePaul.
I definitely think your teacher is your best ally in this in terms of safer vs. reachier options for your musical skill level right now. My only thought is that if you are applying to schools of music within a large university setting, be sure to pick some where your academic profile is at least in the top half of applicants and possibly higher if you’re shooting for merit aid. You need to do homework on merit aid too if that is of interest.