<p>I agree. Unless you are poor,first generation, a URM, or a PHENOMENAL athlete, you really have almost no chance.
That writing score will make AdComs believe your essays, if fabulous, are not yours.
Your test scores are your weak point, and your ECs just aren’t helpful. I mean, so you dog sat? Honestly, get real.Switching instruments if you have not achieved mastery isn’t a plus, either. I wouldn’t include most of the stuff you list, because it looks like you lack focus.
Seriously, I suggest an SAT optional school like Bates. You have a much better chance there.</p>