<p>Z, you’ve given an excellent breakdown, and not to quibble but … I believe you cannot count those admitted to NAPS as being admitted effectively to USNA (the 2.1%). Reason: They are counted among the 1200 the following year. And so to include them in the overall figure is essentially double counting. From another perspective, the 1200 admitted this year already include those from NAPS from the preceding year, give or take a few.</p>
<p>So the effective percentage remains the same … about a 10% overall admit rate … and nearly 100% from NAPS reapplicants but only 8.5% (950 remaining slots after NAPS/11,750 applicants after the NAPS kids are removed. </p>
<p>Please correct if I’ve figured this incorrectly.</p>
<p>The good news: Into NAPS and you’re in unless you blow the bunny.</p>
<p>The less-than-good news: For those HS and college student applicants not getting into NAPS the chances are more slim than what the gross stats and Princeton Review portray. And for even more of a reality check, this fails to recognize those coming from the fleet, again, if I understand it, are nearly 100% locks for appointment if they’re encouraged to apply. Only about 8 of 100 candidates. Bottomline is it’s tough and competitive and illustrates the need to do one’s best in all aspects of the applicant measurement scales.</p>