I’m not even reading further.
At this point there is NO WAY you or your friend have any idea what colleges they might or might not get accepted to.
At this point, my suggestion is you stop talking about college with everyone except your parents…when the time comes later. Discussing college with classmates, other relatives and friends just creates the angst you currently have.
So…start to enjoy your high school years without discussions of colleges all the time.. You will be happy if you do this. Do activities that you enjoy. Don’t try to do things just to impress colleges. Do them for yourself.