Nearly 35,000 applications for the Class of '15.

<p>^You know, this is why I hate probability. The fact is, sometimes it’s too difficult to predict any sort of odds in the real world, because there are too many factors involved. Where do students with excellent SAT scores but low-ish GPA fall on your scale? Where do those with low SAT scores but high GPA fall? What about those with average scores on both but excellent essays? You can’t take the acceptance rate for, for example, those with 750-800 on CR (which was what like 20%?) and say that anyone whose CR falls in that range has that sort of chance. It’s illogical. Too many factors, too many variables. This isn’t math, this is a subjective process that’s impossible to predict. Here’s how to view admissions:
With increasing scores comes increasing chances, and vice versa. GPA and rank are more important than SAT scores. Anything else is impossible to predict. If you’re satisfied with your essays and think they fit the school and really show who you are, and have adequate stats, your acceptance rate is going to be somewhere near 1 in 5/6 or something (after removing unqualified applicants from the pool). And that’s it. That’s all you’ll ever be able to guess.</p>