@Kef1975 maybe it’d be helpful if you gave a sense of your runner’s athletic level- approximate PRs in best events.
We all have different ideas of what a “strong” distance runner is so zeroing in on the specific athletic profile (approximate enough to protect the athlete’s identity) might get you some helpful input.
Worth mentioning that boys can take a pretty significant jump at that age, so the athletic fit might look different in a few months.
Also, I had assumed you were familiar with athletic recruiting and how that works at these schools, but if not feel free to ask questions. The way coaches can support academically-qualified recruits through the admissions process can really scramble the typical safety-reach classifications. I’ve known athletes for whom Cornell and Harvard were safeties and Wisconsin and CU reaches (given the difficulty of making rosters at the latter).