“I think that this will particularly be the case at competitive private schools just below the very top rung, places like Emory, WashU (currently forced to compete for many applicants with test-optional U. Chicago), Vanderbilt, Boston College, Northeastern, Boston University, Tulane, and Colgate. At the rung of private colleges below that—schools that have had to take applicants’ finances seriously into account all along—admissions requirements will almost certainly become more lax. At the rungs below that, many institutions may simply close down.”
- Trends that could suggest this sort of outcome were pointing in that direction anyway given the demographic cliff that's looming. International admits were supposed to help soften that blow, but coronavirus might have thrown a monkey-wrench in that plan, at least for the time being.