I’ve been following the compasspress blog (google it, I can’t post a link because of the TOS) Art has been very reliable in the past and I think his predictions are as good I’ve seen. It looks like it won’t be a 3 point increase across the board. He’s saying higher score states will likely go up a point - he’s putting TX at 221 but some of the lower scoring states will be going up 2 to 3 points. He’s putting NJ at 223 which would be safe for you @GreenPoison but is also giving a range of 222-224 for NJ.
It’s going to be a long wait for September!