<p>It is tricky! We’ve been through a similar scenario once and are about to again.</p>
<p>When I look at Naviance for other high schools (we don’t have it), you can see some colleges (like Virginia Tech) that draw a hard line at, say, 3.0 or 3.2 unweighted. It’s almost like they don’t look at the SAT or strength of curriculum. Others have a GPA floor, but accepatnces are spotty and scattered across a big range of SAT scores. The top schools can be clustered at the very top of the GPA range. That can give you a feel for how each college works.</p>
<p>Take a look at the data from some other high schools. I like this one because it has an unweighted GPA option.
<a href=“https://connection.naviance.com/fc/signin.php?hsid=johnson[/url]”>https://connection.naviance.com/fc/signin.php?hsid=johnson</a> (guest password=wildcat)
Michigan does look like a stretch. Indiana looks somewhat more realisitic.</p>
<p>Also, look to see what percentage of accepted students are in the top 10 percent of the class. That gives some indication of how selective the school is with respect to GPA.</p>
<p>If it were me, I would start the list looking for safeties and matches as if his scores were somewhat lower. If all of the acceptances are above his GPA, you are hoping to be an outlier on the curve. It could happen, but it sounds risky. This is a case that might justify more applications that typical, but start at the bottom!</p>