<p>Well, given Columbia’s accept stats, most applicants are going to be rejected. Especially now that the ED spots are confirmed, almost every, more than 90% are not going to be accepted, and if you did not get a likely letter you are very likely not to get accepted. Do the math.</p>
<p>However, in all fairness most of those who are accepted did not get likely letters. But those who have them are almost certainly in, in fact, are accepted if they don’t do something stupid or there wasn’t a mistake. It is rare to get a likely letter, very, very rare , and not get accepted. Those who did not will be in the 90% group of those who will not get an accept.</p>