<p>You don’t really have enough information to determine the odds because although the MOC has apparently got two openings, thus can submit two slates, the MOC is not required to submit two slates, nor is the MOC required to submit even one slate or even a full slate, or they can submit two identical slates or even two slates where some names are on only one slate and other names are on both slates … there are so many variables that you cannot begin to know the odds. Many MOCs with multiple slates open will evaluate the quality (and/or quantity) of the applicants in their district and decide if they will submit both slates or save one for next year. Similarly, many MOCs do not fill a slate of 10, even if they have more than 10 candidates. This decision, too, is made based on the merit of the applicants. While some MOCs submit a full slate every opportunity they get, others do not because they perceive the nomination process to be a way to help admissions in the screening process and are thus only willing to nominate those with very real potential at a SA. In other words, some MOCs do not provide courtesy noms while others do. One MOC office described a courtesy nom this way … a nom for someone who the MOC/committee feels that, for one reason or another (grades/attitude etc), will not represent the MOC district well. </p>
<p>So - as you can see, there are lots of variables that we just don’t have enough information to assess the odds. If you are a strong candidate, fit within the norms/above the mins for the grades, test scores etc. and didn’t come across as rude/arrogant or disrespectful in your interview, you should be okay for the nom. </p>
<p>The MOCs don’t have to have their slates in until January 31st and there are lots of things going on in the MOC office. The majority of slates are turned in the last two weeks of January with a whole lot going in between the 28th-31st so be patient. Many MOCs require a briefing by the staffer on the noms and the MOC has to sign the nom to the SA (they are turned in electronically with original signature by mail) so the noms frequently cannot get done right after interviews unless the MOC is around to sign. In the Eastern districts that’s easier but in the West many MOCs cannot get back to their district readily when Congress is in session (unless they are okay with missing votes … some MOCs do that all the time while others go to great lengths not to miss votes).</p>