Please brutally honest chance me Vanderbilt or Rice (ED1 possibly), Emory (ED2 possibly), UCLA, UCB, Georgetown

When calculating my weighted gpa, I only weighed APs and not honors to be safe since my high school does not give us a weighted. Our school allows us to take APs starting 11th.

As for my freshman year situation, both my parents worked full time and between that time constraint and the cost of enrichment classes my brother (12th) and I (9th) were going to for our classes in school, they were not in the position to hire someone. The reason I don’t have any cost constraints now is because my brother (junior in college) has started working recently as well. He has agreed to help pay for my college so tuition at any school would be covered for me between both my parents and my brother.

I have calculated my UC GPA to be a 4.41 multiple times using my grades from A-G courses. I have 16 A’s, 1 B, and 8 courses weighted (capped). The reason it is higher than normal is because my second semester of 10th grade wasn’t counted due to covid and credit no credit.

My transcript says 3.73 UW overall with 3.42 UW 9th (2 semesters), 4.0 UW 10th (only 1 semester), and 3.92 UW 11th (2 semesters).

Hopefully UCs do work out for me, but judging by how they went this cycle it seems very uncertain. My current top 2 choices are Rice and Emory so I will probably end up EDing to one of them.