hello! i was kind of lurking around in the university of wisconsin-madison threads (i live in wisconsin) and then i found this thread haha. i still have some years until college apps start, and hence, i’m undoubtedly unqualified, but i can try to give you some feedback based on what i know from people who have attended uwm.
first of all, i don’t think anyone can necessarily “chance” others for college, college admissions are super random. it also really depends on your essays and teacher rec letters, there are a lot of factors involved.
the main thing that i will say is that the majority of people at uwm are from inside the state, and the university leans toward accepting and providing heavier financial aid towards those in state. if you do make it in, though, it’s a really amazing school, and i think you would like it!