<p>sa0209:</p>
<p>Really? That’s rather interesting. I’m trying to be conservative with my estimates of 49-50%, but I’d like to be proven wrong. :)</p>
<p>(However, as I’m sure you’re aware, there are many people around who claim to have this-or-that type of information. The owner of the mathacle blog, for instance, claimed last year that he had heard from “a friend that new admissions officers at Chicago” that Chicago had a huge summer melt that would bring its yield back down to the 40%-ish range, which of course never happened. So I’ll wait to hear the official word from the Admissions Office until I reach any conclusions.)</p>
<p>If they underestimate the yield AGAIN, then this will likely imply that next year’s admissions rate will be in the 6-7% range if applicant numbers can be pushed up to the 32-33k range (and I think they will). The University has repeatedly stated that it intends to catch up to Columbia in terms of admissions, which means that it’s likely aiming for a sub-7% admit rate. That would put it below Princeton and MIT, and maybe even Yale.</p>