Question about competitiveness of Musical Theatre programs

Hello! I am helping a niece, junior in high school, with her college application process. Her dream is to get a BFA in Musical Theatre. She has a lot of experience time and commitment-wise in productions but typically in ensembles or very small roles. Would this mean she has no chance at an BFA program?

In looking through old threads I see a lot of debate about choosing between BA and BFA programs. So far we have been looking mostly at BFA programs and the acceptance rates are shockingly tiny! From seeing them, I would think that there are many who default to BAs simply because they are easier to get into. Is this not the case?

I do realize that some of the BA programs also require auditions but I was assuming (hoping!) that they are less competitive.

SO a few questions:
*what would you recommend for a kid who has all the love and enthusiasm and dedication but hasn’t yet achieved a high level?

*can anyone recommend some less selective schools in the Northeast or MidAtlantic areas of the US? She is an average student (decent grades, ok scores).

*any resources on selectivity of the programs? (So far niece is reaching out one-by-one)

Thank you so much for any advice!