It’s crazy to say - is she going to be competitive for college admissions with a GPA of 4.2 (weighted) and an unweighted of has to be close to a 4.0
It’s also crazy that it’s only the top 15% -but i suspect the school grade inflates and your daughter is taking less than the top rigor - so that might be a downfall.
There’s a huge difference between Oxy and Vassar btw - and a lot of schools in between.
Today you can apply TO and the 1440 won’t be seen by the Ca Publics - since they are blind. Many top schools - a Wesleyan, BU, Connecticut - 40-60% of their admits are TO believe it or not - so TO is huge!!
btw - a 1440 is the 97th percentile - so yes, look at each school to see if it’s in range - but the question of will she be competitive - is silly.
I know you followed it up with that list of schools so the question makes more sense - but I hope you don’t put huge pressure on your child. She’s phenomenal!!
She’s a slam dunk for Oxy and highly likely (Franklin and Marshall, Depauw, Dennison, Skidmore) and I’d say a match to a Macalester, Lafayette, and Kenyon). And those you list are not out of reality - the UC maybe a lower level one.
If you’re looking UC, then also look at Arizona and Arizona State - because both have great honors college and fantastic merit. One can say the same about U of SC as well.
But your daughter is ABSOLUTELY FINE and if she wants a great LAC, mid size or large school - they’ll all be there for her - just make sure like everyone, you have your reaches (what you listed), matches and safeties.
Instead of a Gtwon/Northwestern - the match/safety would be a William and Mary (low reach), American and Denver, etc.
Good luck.