the point is that all the mathematical models created so far dont and cant help students know specifically which colleges they will or wont get into. All we can do is say is the decision process is holistic, or it is like trying to peer into a black hole, or it depends on so many factors that there IS no way to predict it with certainty. Which currently are all true.
So repeatedly talking about mathematical formulas and equations which cannot generate usable, concrete predictions is a waste of time. There is no formula to predict , with certainty, the “where” of college admissions… yet.