Recruiting timeline - differences by sport

The NCAA publishes data on this and personally I think it is something each kid (and, as @twoinandone intimated above, parent) should review and digest before putting all their eggs in the sports basket.

http://www.ncaa.org/about/resources/research/estimated-probability-competing-college-athletics

The above reports 12.1% of boy’s lacrosse players go on to compete in college, with just shy of 3% competing in D1 and a little more than 2% competing in D2. Girl’s lax numbers are slightly higher, with 13% going on to college and 3.7% and 2.5% competing in D1 and 2 respectively. Girl’s volleyball only puts 3.9% in college, with roughly 1 percent to Div 1 and 2. For comparison, just shy of 7% of HS football players go on to compete in college (2.6 % in D1, and 1.8% in D2) and 3.5% go on to compete in basketball in college (1% to D1 and 2 respectively).

The number of participants reported is illuminating as well. Boy’s lacrosse still shows as one of the least popular sports, with a bit more than one hundred thousand estimated participants in high school. That is ten times less than football and several hundred thousand less than basketball, baseball, track and soccer. It is more popular than ice hockey, water polo and volleyball of the listed sports. Girl’s numbers are similar, with lacrosse more popular than field hockey, golf, ice hockey and water polo, but drawing significantly fewer participants than basketball, softball, track, soccer and volleyball.

Generally speaking I think that when there is an imbalance between the popularity of a sport at the high school level and at the college level, early recruiting will be a problem as more college coaches are chasing fewer competitive athletes.