@“Erin’s Dad” - I suppose it was meant as more of generic question for schools with strong merit aid (UA, UofSC, UMiss, UNM as examples), and whether there are any examples or insights people have on when offered merit aid has been removed (not for poor academic performance).
It is a topic that can potentially impact my family personally, but I didn’t want to start a school or family specific analysis here.
I agree with you that it is impossible to forecast what will happen- this post may just my anxieties peeking through into a discussion board. 