Seems like Ivy League Admissions Should be Easily Predictible - Someone Educate Me!

Revised version of flowchart in #57:



+------------------------+  Yes   +-----------------------+  Yes
|Famous, big donor, etc.?+------> |Meets minimal baseline?+------> You're In!  :D 
+-----+------------------+        +-----------------------+
      |                                  | No
      | No                               |
+-----v--------+  No                     +---> Sorry  :-q 
|Great Student?+------> Sorry  :-q 
+-----+--------+
      |
      | Yes
+-----v------------+ Yes
|Recruited Athlete?+--------> You're In! :-j 
+-----+------------+
      |
      | No
+-----v-----------------------------------+  No
|Top half a percent stats?                +------> Sorry  :-q 
|(GPA 3.9+, SAT CR+M 1500+, ACT 34+, etc.)|
+-----+-----------------------------------+
      |
      | Yes
+-----v--------+  No  +----------------------------+  No
|Fantastic ECs?+----->|Legacy, URM, etc. + Good ECs|-------> Sorry :-q 
+-----+--------+      +----------------------------+
      |                           |
      | Yes                       | Yes
+-----v---------------------------v----------------+  No
|Great & Unique Essays, Wonderful Recs & Interviews+--------> Sorry   :-q 
+-----+--------------------------------------------+
      |
      | Yes
      v
You're In! ^:)^