<p>Re Pizzagirl #591, #595, and #599: I posted on the MIT forum over a year ago that I thought they were making a few incorrect decisions <em>within</em> individual demographic groups, that is, <em>within</em> the group of middle-class white males and possibly <em>within</em> the group of middle-class Asian males. </p>
<p>I support affirmative action strongly, and believe that it is necessary at the present time, at most universities. I’ve said so more than once on the MIT forum. </p>
<p>The notion that person X, Y, or Z took the place that should have gone to someone else is not what I am arguing. I would guess that there were roughly 600 people who were admitted at MIT, had more-or-less identical demographic characteristics to the person I have been writing about, and had a less compelling rationale for admission, based specifically on the application packages, in the MIT context–<em>if</em> Marilee Jones had not influenced the decision. Since the student was admitted from the waitlist (after Stu Schmill became Director of Admissions), there is some objective evidence based on what happened at MIT, about the “fit” there. I even suspect that with the benefit of hindsight, at least a person or two in MIT admissions would agree with me–and presumably Stu did even without hindsight.</p>
<p>But I don’t think the issue is exclusively MIT in the Jones era–if it were just that, a few of the posters I have encountered on CC over time would have been admitted a few more places. (I think they are real people–or at least some of them are.) </p>
<p>I do agree with you, Pizzagirl, that many students over-estimate what their chances of acceptance would be, in the absence of preferences for athletes, developmental admits, legacies, and URM’s. </p>
<p>When I looked at it some time ago, the UC system seemed to give students some estimate of the distance between their application files and the level required for acceptance. I think that was a good idea–not sure whether they still do it. Acknowledged, the UC system was a bit reductionist and unidimensional overall, because it was based on point totals (though for many characteristics as well as scores and GPA).</p>
<p>I understand that HYPSM can’t indicate where students rated overall, as a practical matter–but if they could, it would probably help, at least with regard to having the applicants gain some perspective on the URM issue.</p>