Probably about 50-85% of students/families are FA-dependent to cover the costs of their in-state public universities, so in-state FA is probably the bigger factor than in-state list price for most (although forum posters are more likely to be in the upper 15% looking at list prices).
https://ticas.org/posd/map-state-data# suggests that some states do much better with in-state FA, based on the resulting student loan debt. CT, PA, DE, RI have significantly higher levels of student loan debt than UT, NM, NV, WY, CA, WA, AZ, FL.