Should I apply ED to ILR or Dyson given stats/chance of acceptance? (Chance/Reverse Chance me)

Well considering that the majority of Dyson’s ~155 freshman class are In-state (I’m out-of-state), Legacy, or recruited athletes, don’t you think that I’d be better off applying to ILR? It seems that out of Dyson’s 3-6% acceptance rate I have a slim-to-none chance of getting in, considering I don’t have any hooks.