Stanford Chances 2400?

<p>Male, and it is South Carolina, did not apply early. Also, found this:
[Applicant</a> Profile : Stanford University](<a href=“Page Not Found : Stanford University”>Page Not Found : Stanford University).</p>

<p>Based simply on an 800 writing score, that’s a 20% chance for admission (on average (correlation, not causation)). Do you think I have at least a 30% chance overall?</p>